Polymarket Trader

youyong

0xdf6aa6c06af43057ba9c8261d471487e2be5f389

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $13.58
Realized PnL: $300.82
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $271.12
Potential profit: $271.12
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135.57
Potential profit: $135.57
User PnL: -$64.71

Yes position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $3.79
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $55.03
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: -$6.21

Yes position

Anthropic CEO arrested?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.58
Potential profit: $33.58
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $2.7
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $27.3
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.9% and 2.1%?

Ends Jan 19, 2027

Implied probability: 16.8%
Current value: $3.1
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $15.42
Multiplier: 5.97x
User PnL: -$6.9

Yes position

Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $15.18
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $15.15
Potential profit: $14.17
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$4.02

Yes position

Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $14.71
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.72

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.64

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.92

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.39

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.7

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.15

Yes position

Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.03

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.1

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.36

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $110 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.64

Yes position

US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.98

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.54

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.12

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

No position

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.22

Yes position

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.72

Yes position

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.94

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will there be 12–14 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Yes 18% 16.67 shares
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Yes 27% 11.11 shares
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Yes 17% 58.82 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?

Yes 4% 6.52 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?

Yes 2.2% 58.5 shares
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Yes 2.2% 14.28 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?

Yes 23.8% 21.01 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?

Yes 46% 6.52 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Yes 54% 18.52 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Yes 97.4% 19.23 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Yes 54% 92.06 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Yes 37.7% 265.25 shares