Yes position
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $1.16K
- Potential payout
- $122.38K
- Potential profit
- $121.22K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$305.95
Polymarket Trader
ikickbabies
0xdf6f85ff51133209764fe15147d41f8cb808f6ee
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.21K
- Realized PnL
- $12.47K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $497.58
- Potential payout
- $32.1K
- Potential profit
- $31.6K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$61.89
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $255.02
- Potential payout
- $17.59K
- Potential profit
- $17.33K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$694.64
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.94K
- Potential profit
- $11.94K
- User PnL
- -$3.83K
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.3%
- Current value
- $3.37K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $1.64K
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $1.02K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $1.57K
- Potential payout
- $1.57K
- Potential profit
- $3.93
- User PnL
- $436.79
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.36K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $142.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $277.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82K
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $803.88
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $542.92
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $521.34
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $490.02
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $475
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $291.57
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $285.78
No position
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243.53
No position
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $236.25
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $223.88
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.96
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.13
No position
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.56
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.24
No position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.56
No position
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.47
No position
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 4?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $95.85
No position
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.07
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.12
No position
US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 94% 1,315.33 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 94% 2,737.11 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 53% 2,402.77 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes 48% 31.02 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes 48% 1,485.98 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 8?No 97.3% 3,115.56 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 6?No 99.6% 116.25 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?No 96.5% 6,340.6 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?No 96.1% 734.37 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?No 96% 5,506.23 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 98.9% 5,570 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?No 95% 3,645.72 shares