Polymarket Trader

Febux

0xdf6fb75bbe381c8d5b79b59f95b805934076faf3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $590.68
Realized PnL: $3.94K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.33K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2025-09-09?

Ends Sep 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $1.24K
User PnL: -$400

Yes position

Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.13K
User PnL: -$950

Yes position

Will Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $848
Potential profit: $848
User PnL: -$89.04

No position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $486.72
Potential payout: $593.56
Potential profit: $106.84
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $36.72

No position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $501.9
Potential profit: $501.9
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?

Ends Sep 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $361.56
Potential profit: $361.56
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $344.83
Potential profit: $344.83
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on October 7?

Ends Oct 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $309.12
Potential profit: $309.12
User PnL: -$200

No position

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$150

No position

Will anyone say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 7+ times during Apple launch event on September 9?

Ends Sep 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $143.8
Potential profit: $143.8
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $103.97
Potential payout: $108.7
Potential profit: $4.73
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $3.97

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2025-09-09?

Ends Sep 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.7
Potential profit: $108.7
User PnL: -$50

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

Gukesh position

World Chess Championship 2024 Winner

Ends Dec 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $443.87

No position

Will Álvaro Delgado win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?

Ends Oct 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $383.96

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $277.73

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.31

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $205.79

No position

Will ChatGPT have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.75

Yes position

Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?

Ends Dec 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.07

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.56

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.73

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.24

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.77

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.36

No position

Will Man City win the FIFA Club World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.14

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?

Ends Nov 24, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.39

No position

MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?

Ends Dec 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.45

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.45

No position

Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.71

No position

Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.93

No position

Will Ripple hit in $3.50 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.37

Yes position

Will Yamandú Orsi win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?

Ends Oct 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.67

No position

OpenAI acquired in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.81

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?

No 86.4% 578.87 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 94.2% 961.53 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 94.2% 223.6 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 80.9% 123.61 shares
GTA 6 launch postponed again?

No 77.4% 193.78 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 80% 250 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 80% 250 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Up 37% 56.16 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Up 32% 15.63 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Up 37% 13.51 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Up 37% 13.51 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Up 37% 13.51 shares