Yes position
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $47.71
- Potential payout
- $187.11
- Potential profit
- $139.39
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$52.29
Polymarket Trader
dadapera
@dada_pera
0xdf877fb8f28ac050cae31a6ccf9096c1f8172955
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $47.71
- Realized PnL
- $2.88K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $420.04
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $372
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.94
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.6
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.69
No position
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.08
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.91
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.8
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.12
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.5
No position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.37
No position
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.44
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.48
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.94
Yes position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.92
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5000 August 25–31?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.67
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.07
Yes position
Fed rate cut by September meeting?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.31
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3800 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.56
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.56
No position
Russian strike on Poland by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.96
No position
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.69
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.09
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?Yes 53.4% 187.11 shares
- Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?Yes 3.9% 93.43 shares
- Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?Yes 53.5% 93.43 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 8?No 98.1% 493.82 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 8?No 81% 246.91 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 8?No 81% 246.91 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes 80% 600 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 77% 400 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 35% 8.34 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 40% 212.51 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No 61% 400 shares
- Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?Yes 94% 212.77 shares