Polymarket Trader

CitizenScientist

0xdf933b45bf02e6f10002da22ea32a7cff08fbdc8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.22K
Realized PnL: $17.32K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.24K
Potential payout: $2.24K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $393.74

Yes position

Will there be 14–16 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.78K
Potential profit: $1.78K
User PnL: -$57.9

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $88.58

Yes position

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $15.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $984.5
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $6.5

No position

Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $801.99
Potential profit: $801.99
User PnL: -$231.41

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $44.65
Potential payout: $769.88
Potential profit: $725.23
Multiplier: 17.24x
User PnL: $24.65

No position

Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $640.68
Potential payout: $640.68
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $140.67

No position

Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $581.12
Potential payout: $625.87
Potential profit: $44.75
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $144.54

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $572.89
Potential payout: $572.89
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $50.23

No position

Will there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $520
Potential profit: $520
User PnL: -$162.93

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$215

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $482.17
Potential profit: $482.17
User PnL: -$424.56

Yes position

Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $313.34
Potential payout: $313.34
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $162.86

No position

Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $308.83
Potential profit: $308.83
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $307.76
Potential payout: $307.76
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $32.22

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.9%
Current value: $56.49
Potential payout: $270.27
Potential profit: $213.78
Multiplier: 4.78x
User PnL: -$43.51

Yes position

Weed rescheduled by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $222.22
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$28

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$171

Niagara Purple Eagles position

Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Rider Broncs

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $190.64
Potential profit: $190.64
User PnL: -$114.55

Yes position

Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.25
Potential profit: $185.25
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $179
Potential payout: $179
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $48.33

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 37.8%
Current value: $64.07
Potential payout: $169.49
Potential profit: $105.42
Multiplier: 2.65x
User PnL: -$35.93

No position

Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $157.41
Potential payout: $157.41
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $83.36

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67K

No position

Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55K

No position

1,300+ Measles cases in U.S. before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25K

Rams position

Vikings vs. Rams

Ends Jan 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03K

Yes position

Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

Yes position

Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $874

Hurricanes position

Hurricanes vs. Blackhawks

Ends Jan 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $726.9

Commanders position

Commanders vs. Lions

Ends Jan 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $671.34

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $660.05

Broncos position

Broncos vs. Texans

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $634.08

Yes position

Will "Moana 2" have a Tomatometer score of 60-69?

Ends Dec 2, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $603.38

Lions position

Vikings vs. Lions

Ends Jan 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $576.26

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Pacers

Ends Jan 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $568.27

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $538.22

Trail Blazers position

Trail Blazers vs. Magic

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $536.96

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 13?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $535.78

Yes position

Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $532.14

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $529.6

Yes position

Will Connecticut win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $485.5

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $482.43

Yes position

Will the Liberals win between 160-169 seats in the next Canadian Election?

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $479.75

Pacers position

Pacers vs. Cavaliers

Ends Jan 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $467.31

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $457.49

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $443.27

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Yes 44% 5 shares
Will there be 18–20 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

No 49% 146 shares
Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Yes 44% 26.67 shares
US issues Do-Not-Travel warning for Jalisco State by February 28, 2026?

No 91% 50 shares
Will there be 18–20 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

No 44% 146 shares
Will there be 14–16 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Yes 7.9% 56.39 shares
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Yes 67% 100 shares
Will there be 16–18 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Yes 32.9% 29.26 shares
Will there be 14–16 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Yes 4.8% 237.37 shares
Will there be 14–16 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Yes 4.6% 364.86 shares
Will there be 14–16 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Yes 4.1% 129.31 shares
Trail Blazers vs. Suns

Trail Blazers 98.3% 337.47 shares