No position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $3.9K
- Potential payout
- $9.4K
- Potential profit
- $5.5K
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$799
Polymarket Trader
0xf243
0xdf974b8db371482e34ff44b0fbfce11a0abf4653
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.36K
- Realized PnL
- $16.7K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $5.5K
- Potential payout
- $9.4K
- Potential profit
- $3.9K
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $799
Yes position
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be above 2%?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.55K
- Potential profit
- $2.55K
- User PnL
- -$211.89
Yes position
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $11.25
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1.5% and 2%?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- User PnL
- -$128.55
Yes position
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $5.9
- Potential payout
- $621.08
- Potential profit
- $615.18
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $10.78
- Potential payout
- $440
- Potential profit
- $429.22
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- $0.66
Yes position
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.6B?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $168.6
- Potential payout
- $240.86
- Potential profit
- $72.26
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- $44.44
No position
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be below 1%?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $230.66
- Potential payout
- $230.66
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $8.11
Yes position
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.1B?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $213.9
- Potential payout
- $226.35
- Potential profit
- $12.45
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $8.97
Yes position
Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between 0% and 1.5%?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $26.97
- Potential payout
- $107.86
- Potential profit
- $80.9
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- $4.31
Yes position
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1% and 1.5%?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $92.51
- Potential payout
- $93.3
- Potential profit
- $0.79
- User PnL
- $3.72
Yes position
Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between -1.5% and 0%?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $23.35
- Potential payout
- $88.1
- Potential profit
- $64.75
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $17.45
No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $82.13
- Potential payout
- $85.82
- Potential profit
- $3.69
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $13.04
No position
Will Kroger (KR) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $54.12
- Potential payout
- $54.12
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between -3% and -1.5%?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $8.64
- Potential payout
- $42.14
- Potential profit
- $33.5
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $6.95
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $2.51
- Potential payout
- $41.86
- Potential profit
- $39.35
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$15.49
Yes position
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.35B?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.2%
- Current value
- $31.77
- Potential payout
- $35.64
- Potential profit
- $3.87
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $5.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.98K
Yes position
Will Target Q1 comparable sales growth be above 3%?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45K
No position
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.06K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 76°F or higher on July 21?
Ends Jul 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
No position
Will Bank First (BFC) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $714.49
Yes position
Will "Kai Harada" win Best Sound Design of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $571.48
Yes position
Will DICK's Sporting Goods Q1 Dick's business comparable sales growth be above 5%?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $515.52
Yes position
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $483.44
Virtus.pro position
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Yandex vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $473.35
No position
Will "Kai Harada" win Best Sound Design of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $411.25
Yes position
Will Home Depot Q1 comparable sales growth be between 0.5% and 1%?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $390.33
Yes position
Will Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $378.94
No position
Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $315.45
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $297.5
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $279.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $266.76
No position
Will Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $263.05
No position
Will KKR & Co (KKR) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243
No position
Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $238.57
No position
Will Broadcom Q2 AI revenue be above $11.5B?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $235.58
No position
Will Dropbox (DBX) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $207.44
No position
Will Cisco's AI orders taken from hyperscalers be at least $2.0B in Q3?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be below 1%?No 98% 50 shares
- Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1% and 1.5%?Yes 97% 34 shares
- Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1% and 1.5%?Yes 92% 21.77 shares
- Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be below 1%?No 97% 22 shares
- Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be below 1%?No 97% 72 shares
- Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1% and 1.5%?Yes 95.3% 37.53 shares
- Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be below 1%?No 95% 86.66 shares
- Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1.5% and 2%?Yes 1% 60.32 shares
- Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between 0% and 1.5%?Yes 21% 107.86 shares
- Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1.5% and 2%?Yes 7.9% 146.88 shares
- Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.6B?Yes 73.2% 150 shares
- Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $1.9B?Yes 93.9% 10 shares