Y
Yes position
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Polymarket Trader
0xdfa9...2bfc
0xdfa9088b1b1601379a00d959b104cb4ea4012bfc
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- -$2.09
- Win rate
- 8.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Y
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.6%
- Multiplier
- 2.10x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Y
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.6%
- Multiplier
- 2.10x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Yes 27% 20 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Yes 28% 20 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Yes 28% 20 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Yes 28% 20 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Yes 28% 20 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Yes 28% 20 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Yes 28% 20 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Yes 28% 20 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Yes 28% 20 shares
- Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes 31% 18 shares
- Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes 32% 18 shares
- Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes 32% 18 shares