Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.8%
- Current value
- $935.37
- Potential payout
- $6.8K
- Potential profit
- $5.87K
- Multiplier
- 7.27x
- User PnL
- -$64.62
Polymarket Trader
withesitation
0xdfb79509cc46e3a490b15b01e864ee3af159c940
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.55K
- Realized PnL
- $5.5K
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $5.8K
- Potential profit
- $4.7K
- Multiplier
- 5.28x
- User PnL
- $99.05
No position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $48.77
- Potential payout
- $3.61K
- Potential profit
- $3.56K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$83.22
No position
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.6%
- Current value
- $464.43
- Potential payout
- $667.38
- Potential profit
- $202.95
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $163.43
Yes position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $247.06
- Potential profit
- $247.06
- User PnL
- -$63
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $776.47
Yes position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $429.43
No position
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300.36
Yes position
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.53
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $170.17
No position
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $134.3
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.19
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.73
Yes position
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $95.44
No position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $90.27
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.72
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.02
No position
Will anyone say or "Artificial Intelligence" during Apple launch event on September 9?
Ends Sep 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.87
No position
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $25.09
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.95
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ionuț Dumitru?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.7
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Anca Dragu?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.79
No position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will Mikie Sherrill win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Ends Jun 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will no leader be out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$8.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No 45.1% 667.38 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?No 1% 610 shares
- Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 21,396.82 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 94% 145.45 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 33% 145.45 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?No 62.1% 155 shares
- Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No 80% 131.36 shares
- Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No 60.9% 131.36 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 14.7% 6,802.72 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17.2% 5,799.71 shares
- Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No 98.9% 236.9 shares
- Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No 42.2% 236.9 shares