Polymarket Trader

catchagrenade

0xdfba184f7b68c4d9a4e4f12066c8abbd6e699398

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.55K
Realized PnL: $9.03K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $488.57
Potential payout: $539.86
Potential profit: $51.29
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $83.57

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $437.16
Potential payout: $477.77
Potential profit: $40.61
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $37.16

No position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $316.47
Potential payout: $316.79
Potential profit: $0.32
User PnL: $16.47

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $217.39
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Leandro Trossard: Anytime Goalscorer

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.29
Potential profit: $131.29
User PnL: -$6.2

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $112.32
Potential payout: $119.05
Potential profit: $6.73
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $12.32

No position

Macron out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $99.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $4.05

No position

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $96.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $3.05
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $2.85

No position

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.58
Potential profit: $27.58
User PnL: -$6.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-17?

Ends Aug 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5K

PSG position

FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)

Ends Jul 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

No position

Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $961.76

Holloway position

UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier

Ends Jul 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $613.64

No position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $492.6

Al Hilal position

FIFA Club World Cup: Manchester City vs. Al Hilal (To Advance)

Ends Jul 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $429.73

No position

Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $391.11

Yes position

Will Senegal win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $369.48

No position

Will Ousmane Dembele score a goal in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup Final?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $323.01

No position

Will Monaco win on 2025-09-18?

Ends Sep 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $239.84

No position

Will Ukraine win on 2025-09-05?

Ends Sep 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.13

No position

Macron out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.07

No position

Will Getafe win on 2025-09-21?

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.57

No position

Will Newcastle United win on 2025-09-18?

Ends Sep 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.51

No position

Will Tunisia win on 2025-12-27?

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.67

Kings position

Kings vs. Kraken

Ends Apr 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.61

No position

Will Fulham win on 2025-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.08

No position

Will FC Lorient vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.33

No position

Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Bodø/Glimt position

UEFA Europa League: Lazio vs. Bodø/Glimt (To Advance)

Ends Apr 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.67

No position

Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.4

No position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.3

No position

Will Barcelona win on 2025-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.78

No position

Stefon Diggs: Anytime Touchdown

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.91

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Leandro Trossard: Anytime Goalscorer

Yes 4.8% 25.04 shares
Leandro Trossard: Anytime Goalscorer

Yes 4.7% 106.25 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

No 46% 217.39 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 69% 289.86 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 84% 238.1 shares
Santiago: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Henrique Rocha

Henrique Rocha 79% 44 shares
Santiago: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Henrique Rocha

Henrique Rocha 79% 36.07 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 83.9% 119.19 shares
Santiago: Franco Agamenone vs Guy Den Ouden

Guy Den Ouden 51% 220 shares
Santiago: Franco Agamenone vs Guy Den Ouden

Guy Den Ouden 51% 227 shares
Santiago: Franco Agamenone vs Guy Den Ouden

Guy Den Ouden 51% 227 shares
Santiago: Franco Agamenone vs Guy Den Ouden

Guy Den Ouden 51% 227 shares