No position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $41.98
- Potential payout
- $42.04
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Polymarket Trader
firehold
0xdfc59ed6228e5efe2cdb663e432ad9b39f81f27b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $96.06
- Realized PnL
- $14.15
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $30.06
- Potential payout
- $30.06
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $24.02
- Potential payout
- $24.02
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.27
No position
Will Solana reach $350 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by February 28, 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will Solana reach $300 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will Solana hit $300 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will XRP dip to $1.4 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Solana dip to $60 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 99.9% 42.04 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June?No 99.9% 24.02 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.8% 30.06 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No 99.2% 32.26 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No 99.5% 22.11 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?No 98.5% 21.32 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?No 99.2% 20.16 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?No 99.1% 16.17 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No 99.9% 39.79 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes 99.5% 15.08 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?No 98.9% 16.18 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?No 99.9% 25.02 shares