Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C or below on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.29
- Potential payout
- $572
- Potential profit
- $571.71
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.71
Polymarket Trader
take-cake
0xdfc72ff0012fa86bdcca058dcaf84d2ed0ac6aa2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.07
- Realized PnL
- $3.61
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $538.43
- Potential profit
- $538.43
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $169.87
- Potential profit
- $169.87
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.82
- Potential profit
- $29.82
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $5.26
- Potential payout
- $10.2
- Potential profit
- $4.95
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $2.58
- Potential payout
- $7.71
- Potential profit
- $5.13
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.56
- Potential profit
- $6.56
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $1.95
- Potential payout
- $4.88
- Potential profit
- $2.93
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $1.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.74
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 14?Yes 24.5% 7.71 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 14?Yes 41% 4.88 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 14?Yes 49% 10.2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 14?Yes 0.6% 67.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 14?No 71.5% 9.7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 14?Yes 22% 4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 14?Yes 0.4% 108.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 14?Yes 0.1% 260.91 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 14?No 72.1% 9.71 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 14?Yes 25% 4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 14?Yes 1.5% 67.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 14?Yes 0.9% 108.99 shares