Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.09K
- Potential profit
- $2.09K
- User PnL
- -$8.53
Polymarket Trader
VladimirDerkach
0xdfd65cfb5f65099c2fc1c1e58561c9fe425bfac2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $71.33
- Realized PnL
- $61.1
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
Ends Jan 10, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $71.33
- Potential payout
- $291.13
- Potential profit
- $219.81
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $35.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $139.58
- Potential profit
- $139.58
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100.01
- Potential profit
- $100.01
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70.37
- Potential profit
- $70.37
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.69
- Potential profit
- $63.69
- User PnL
- -$3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62
- Potential profit
- $62
- User PnL
- -$3.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34
- Potential profit
- $34
- User PnL
- -$6.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26
- Potential profit
- $26
- User PnL
- -$3.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $22.73
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.14
- Potential profit
- $17.14
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.87
- Potential profit
- $13.87
- User PnL
- -$12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.99
- Potential profit
- $12.99
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.36
- Potential profit
- $12.36
- User PnL
- -$2.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.96
- Potential profit
- $10.96
- User PnL
- -$0.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.42
- Potential profit
- $10.42
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.99
- Potential profit
- $6.99
- User PnL
- -$1.54
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.08
- Potential profit
- $6.08
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $6
- User PnL
- -$2.52
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $6
- User PnL
- -$4.62
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.55
No position
Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.51
No position
Will Finland come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.02
No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.02
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $1.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?No 71% 4.25 shares
- Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?No 13% 5.8 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 54% 1.58 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETDown 97% 1.03 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.4% 250 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.2% 500 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?No 22% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETDown 44% 2.27 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETDown 42% 2.38 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETUp 57% 1.75 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETDown 48% 2.08 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETDown 63% 2.04 shares