Polymarket Trader

Dud3

0xdfdbfad05bf69f17fe4fcbab8993f5f3e491703d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $107.42
Realized PnL: $2.56K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $3.6
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $796.4
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.25
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.93
Potential payout: $429.99
Potential profit: $428.06
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$22.4

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $8.56
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $391.44
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $397
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $6.7
Potential payout: $312.92
Potential profit: $306.22
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$9.4

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.63

Yes position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 145m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $201.95
Potential profit: $201.85
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.03

Yes position

Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $198.8
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$3.4

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $198.9
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$6.3

Yes position

Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.1
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$2.7

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $198.5
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Viktor Gyökeres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.5
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$2.1

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $6.6
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $193.4
Multiplier: 30.30x
User PnL: -$9.4

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $8.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $191.7
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$12.9

Yes position

Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $6.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $193.7
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: -$5.7

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.49
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $2.4
Potential payout: $199.98
Potential profit: $197.58
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $21.84
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $138.16
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$3.76

Yes position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $107.11
Potential profit: $106.1
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$11.15

Yes position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $5.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $94.65
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$0.65

No position

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $23.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $76.5
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $8.5

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.34
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$2.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $207.76

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.8

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 1-7?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.8

No position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.11

No position

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.08

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.35

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.24

No position

Will Keir Starmer say "NHS" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.95

No position

Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.9

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.9

No position

Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Secret" this week?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.36

Demoor position

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.1

Yes position

US strike on Syria by December 31?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89

No position

Will Trump say "Nvidia" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.86

Yes position

Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.1

No position

Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.7

Yes position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82

No position

Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on November 14?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.61

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.11

No position

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.79

Yes position

Over $100M committed to the Solomon public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.2% 500 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 0.8% 130 shares
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 23.8% 100 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Justin Gaethje 21% 20 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 17% 30 shares
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?

No 15% 100 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 8.1% 99.99 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

No 0.2% 700 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 20% 30 shares
Will Trump say "Get Out And Vote" during Tele-Rally?

No 29% 9 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Yes 22% 50 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?

No 4.5% 41.23 shares