Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2.99
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$236.46
Polymarket Trader
testingfiore1
0xdfdc41c7c52d8e4b8168c54b67e76b5b732a444d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $335.31
- Realized PnL
- $3.52K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $43.4
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $956.6
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $909.1
- Potential profit
- $909.1
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $21.76
- Potential payout
- $737.52
- Potential profit
- $715.76
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- -$100.62
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $595.67
- Potential profit
- $595.67
- User PnL
- -$232.53
Yes position
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $47.57
- Potential payout
- $500.7
- Potential profit
- $453.13
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$102.64
Yes position
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $50.41
- Potential payout
- $347.63
- Potential profit
- $297.23
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$49.59
Yes position
Will claude-opus-4-6 be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $270.78
- Potential profit
- $270.64
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.52
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $36.83
- Potential payout
- $109.95
- Potential profit
- $73.12
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$8.25
Yes position
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.65
- Potential payout
- $100.65
- Potential profit
- $100
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$7.39
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $88.79
- Potential profit
- $88.79
- User PnL
- -$11.9
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.38
- Potential profit
- $83.38
- User PnL
- -$30.76
Yes position
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $72.49
- Potential payout
- $74.69
- Potential profit
- $2.2
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $23.47
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.4%
- Current value
- $59.08
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $10.92
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $474.46
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242.06
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.25
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.68
No position
Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.26
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.19
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.67
Yes position
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.43
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.41
No position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.78
No position
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $78.34
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.16
No position
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.21
Yes position
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.07
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.47
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.01
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $59.22
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.74
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $47.5
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.53
No position
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.56
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.49
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 10% 1,187.5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 74.3% 269.18 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 11% 909.09 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 12% 89.28 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 26% 412.41 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 29% 172.41 shares
- Will any other model be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?Yes 8% 100.65 shares
- Will claude-opus-4-6 be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?Yes 1% 270.78 shares
- Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?Yes 65.6% 74.69 shares
- Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?Yes 17% 494.88 shares
- Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?Yes 16% 185.5 shares
- Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?Yes 15% 57.14 shares