Polymarket Trader

0xDFDeCB0dCD79Db3D787b89300358899711FB78A3-1723940384780

0xdfdecb0dcd79db3d787b89300358899711fb78a3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $32.1
Realized PnL: $43.06
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $9.33
Potential payout: $169.71
Potential profit: $160.38
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$1.35

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $5.42
Potential payout: $27.17
Potential profit: $21.75
Multiplier: 5.01x
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $2.88
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $22.13
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will BP be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $1.92
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $14.75
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $3.14
Potential payout: $15.31
Potential profit: $12.17
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 31.6%
Current value: $3.51
Potential payout: $11.1
Potential profit: $7.59
Multiplier: 3.16x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $1.86
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $7.23
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

ByteDance IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $0.47
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.2
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $4.26
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $0.68
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.33
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 39.8%
Current value: $1.9
Potential payout: $4.78
Potential profit: $2.88
Multiplier: 2.52x
User PnL: $0.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.7

Yes position

Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: $7.31

Djokovic position

Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.55

Zalgiris Kaunas position

Barcelona vs. Zalgiris Kaunas

Ends Oct 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.03

No position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.56

Trail Blazers position

Trail Blazers vs. Kings

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Giants position

Cowboys vs. Giants

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 6?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.26

Yes position

Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-06?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77

Yes position

Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.2%
Multiplier: 7.04x
User PnL: $1.27

Yes position

Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

US strike on Colombia by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.76

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 58.2%
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Pisa SC vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.92

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?

Yes 55% 18.75 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?

Yes 31% 11.1 shares
Will BP be acquired before 2027?

Yes 12% 16.67 shares
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?

Yes 19% 5.26 shares
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?

Yes 20% 5 shares
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?

Yes 12% 25 shares
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?

Yes 16% 18.75 shares
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?

Yes 22% 9.09 shares
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?

Yes 20.7% 9.66 shares
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Yes 7% 71 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.7% 28.3 shares
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 35.6% 4.78 shares