Polymarket Trader

Fuzzy-Logic

0xdfe15209fe1d1f1e533e94a90af49c0888b46c98

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.65K
Realized PnL: $5.54K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $3.6K
Potential payout: $160K
Potential profit: $156.4K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$1.03K

Yes position

Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $2.22K
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.01K
Potential profit: $2.01K
User PnL: -$165

Yes position

Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.93K
Potential profit: $1.93K
User PnL: -$194.87

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.89K
Potential profit: $1.89K
User PnL: -$284

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.51K
Potential profit: $1.51K
User PnL: -$309.99

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.48K
Potential profit: $1.48K
User PnL: -$226

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $1.47K
User PnL: -$360

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $1.38K
User PnL: -$224.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
User PnL: -$178.79

No position

Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the July meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$40

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $1.24K
User PnL: -$241.99

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $51
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.15K
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: $5.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.15K
User PnL: -$175

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $1.14K
User PnL: -$690

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.13K
User PnL: -$241

Yes position

Tylenol sues Trump by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
User PnL: -$93

No position

Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $906.57
Potential profit: $906.57
User PnL: -$388

Yes position

Will Astronomer CEO Andy Byron sue Coldplay?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $873.49
Potential profit: $873.49
User PnL: -$60

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $841.07
Potential profit: $841.07
User PnL: -$290

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $807.93
Potential profit: $807.93
User PnL: -$225

Yes position

Will Taylor Swift release “The Life of a Showgirl” before September

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $780.94
Potential profit: $780.94
User PnL: -$39.05

Yes position

Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 2750000 and 3000000?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $771.24
Potential profit: $771.24
User PnL: -$53.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $756.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $496.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $417.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $409.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $404.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $223.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $223.09

No position

Han Duck-soo in jail by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $206.91

Yes position

Jimmy Kimmel hosts an episode of "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" by September 30?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $129

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.86

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.79

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 30% 33.03 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Up 20% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Up 28% 3.57 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Up 31% 3.23 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Up 55% 1.82 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Up 25% 40 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Up 54% 18.52 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Up 31.1% 16.09 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Up 35% 28.57 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Up 32% 15.63 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Up 47% 21.28 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Up 44% 22.73 shares