Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $40K
- User PnL
- -$40
Polymarket Trader
Ark108
0xdfe68e1641fb381c4f16be3299ce702dafd02769
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $389.34
- Realized PnL
- $893.85
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $76.77
- Potential payout
- $3.02K
- Potential profit
- $2.95K
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- $11.78
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $870
- Potential profit
- $870
- User PnL
- -$3.48
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Current value
- $82.55
- Potential payout
- $821.38
- Potential profit
- $738.84
- Multiplier
- 9.95x
- User PnL
- -$41.45
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $795.07
- Potential profit
- $795.07
- User PnL
- -$417.57
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $744.84
- Potential profit
- $744.84
- User PnL
- -$334
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $734.44
- Potential profit
- $734.44
- User PnL
- -$324.22
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $563.47
- Potential profit
- $563.47
- User PnL
- -$220
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $101.46
- Potential payout
- $549.9
- Potential profit
- $448.45
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $41.46
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $32.86
- Potential payout
- $517.43
- Potential profit
- $484.57
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- -$22.64
Yes position
Will Iran strike Ras Laffan Industrial City again by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $419.85
- Potential profit
- $419.85
- User PnL
- -$113.36
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $418.52
- Potential profit
- $418.52
- User PnL
- -$113
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.2%
- Current value
- $27.58
- Potential payout
- $338.36
- Potential profit
- $310.78
- Multiplier
- 12.27x
- User PnL
- -$10.89
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $279.07
- Potential profit
- $279.07
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $232.56
- Potential profit
- $217.56
- Multiplier
- 15.50x
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222.22
- Potential profit
- $222.22
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $6.2
- Potential payout
- $170
- Potential profit
- $163.8
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$18.79
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $138.89
- Potential profit
- $138.89
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120.37
- Potential profit
- $120.37
- User PnL
- -$89.07
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $3.07
- Potential payout
- $68.18
- Potential profit
- $65.11
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$11.93
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.94
- Potential profit
- $64.94
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $43.86
- Potential payout
- $57.33
- Potential profit
- $13.47
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $0.86
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.55
- Potential profit
- $54.55
- User PnL
- -$30
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.77
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.09
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.8%
- Multiplier
- 2.88x
- User PnL
- $99.95
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.25
Yes position
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.47
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.71
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.15
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $26.65
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.89
Yes position
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.61
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.44
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.8
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.63
Yes position
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.52
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.33
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.29
Yes position
Will Iran strike East–West Crude Oil Pipeline by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.55
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.58
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.08
Y
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- $10.94
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.53
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.15
Yes position
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?Yes 48% 38.46 shares
- Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?Yes 28% 33.33 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 63.9% 15.65 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 36.2% 544.44 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Yes 22% 68.18 shares
- Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?Yes 26% 38.46 shares
- Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?Yes 30% 33.33 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No 93% 142.63 shares
- Will Drake have a #1 hit in the US in June?No 93% 43.02 shares
- Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?Yes 34% 32.35 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?Yes 43% 25.58 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-30?Yes 77% 14.29 shares