Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $23.43
- Potential payout
- $2.47K
- Potential profit
- $2.44K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $6.17
Polymarket Trader
Crypt-Shiv
0xdffed39850d5e54a216806a4dc785dcb5668f6de
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $60.61
- Realized PnL
- -$35.6
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2.54
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.56
Yes position
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2.51
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$10.78
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $851
- Potential profit
- $851
- User PnL
- -$9.36
Yes position
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.45
- Potential payout
- $413.97
- Potential profit
- $412.52
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$14.69
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $30.68
- Potential payout
- $185.96
- Potential profit
- $155.28
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$16.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $126k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.15
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $103K in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.11
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
March Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause" by Feb 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: Crypto Edition
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Plasma >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $107K in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $145,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.33
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.75
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.84
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.92
Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.65
Yes position
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.13
No position
Will Solana dip to $190 in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$7.85
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $124,000 September 29-October 5?
Ends Oct 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$9.65
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.46
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$34.41
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 0.7% 2,323.66 shares
- Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 0.7% 142.86 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?Yes 20% 49 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 1.1% 550 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 1.1% 301 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 0.3% 442.98 shares
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 0.7% 342.86 shares
- Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 1.1% 510.01 shares
- Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 1% 300 shares
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 0.6% 481.53 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?Yes 27% 136.96 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 8% 146.2 shares