Polymarket Trader

cenk6

0xe002c60e0376932b4140bc8d2cabd22263263135

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $10.47
Realized PnL: $98.16
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.4%
Current value: $9.29
Potential payout: $75.19
Potential profit: $65.9
Multiplier: 8.10x
User PnL: -$0.71

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.71
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.08
Potential profit: $23.08
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.39
Potential profit: $16.39
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.4
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$9.9

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.2
Potential profit: $12.2
User PnL: -$10

No position

Glean IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $1.27
Potential profit: $0.18
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.08

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.88

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.48

Yes position

Will Norway win the most medal points in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.76

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.98

Yes position

Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.36

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.51

Yes position

Will Lille OSC win on 2026-04-26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.97

No position

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.22

Rockets position

Lakers vs. Rockets

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

Yes position

Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will Galatasaray win the Süper Lig?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Fenerbahçe win the Süper Lig?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.96

No position

Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 13% 23.08 shares
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Yes 22% 45.45 shares
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

Yes 23% 43.48 shares
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 18% 55.56 shares
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Yes 22% 45.45 shares
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 14% 71.43 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 24% 41.67 shares
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

Yes 5% 20 shares
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 1.4% 71.43 shares
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Yes 96% 2.08 shares
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Yes 95.4% 41.93 shares
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Yes 63% 31.75 shares