Polymarket Trader

0xe004e9f42772668f46D763aA389D134d9fC47849-1761948701115

0xe004e9f42772668f46d763aa389d134d9fc47849

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.84K
Realized PnL: $2.12K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $885.33
Potential payout: $1.62K
Potential profit: $739.13
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $318.33

Yes position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in October?

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$68.56

Yes position

Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $7.42
Potential payout: $988.88
Potential profit: $981.46
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$82.18

No position

Will Baldur's Gate 3 win Labor of Love at the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $905.71
Potential profit: $905.71
User PnL: -$190.2

No position

Will ARC Raiders win Most Innovative Gameplay in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $783.93
Potential profit: $783.93
User PnL: -$260

Yes position

Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $141.62
Potential payout: $524.53
Potential profit: $382.9
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: -$25.2

Yes position

Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $169.63
Potential payout: $521.94
Potential profit: $352.31
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$7.57

No position

Will Ryan Fazio win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $23.5
Potential payout: $415.99
Potential profit: $392.49
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$259.78

Yes position

Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $398.99
Potential profit: $398.99
User PnL: -$32.54

No position

Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $380
Potential profit: $380
User PnL: -$190

No position

Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $284.88
Potential payout: $362.91
Potential profit: $78.03
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $7.13

Yes position

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $210.88
Potential payout: $340.14
Potential profit: $129.25
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $43.4

No position

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $129.22
Potential payout: $340.05
Potential profit: $210.83
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: -$2.65

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $94.62
Potential payout: $332.11
Potential profit: $237.49
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$26.51

No position

Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $326.69
Potential profit: $326.69
User PnL: -$227

No position

Will Dispatch win Outstanding Story-Rich Game in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $325.93
Potential profit: $325.93
User PnL: -$92

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $321.84
Potential payout: $325.92
Potential profit: $4.07
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $252.05

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $325
Potential profit: $325
User PnL: -$165.75

Yes position

Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.43
Potential payout: $318.58
Potential profit: $317.15
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$25.37

No position

Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $73.1
Potential payout: $292.39
Potential profit: $219.29
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$39.64

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $3.57
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $282.14
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.43

No position

Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $214.14
Potential payout: $283.63
Potential profit: $69.49
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $21.34

No position

Will David Hann be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $281.22
Potential payout: $281.78
Potential profit: $0.56
User PnL: $96.52

No position

Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Best Game You Suck At in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $259.48
Potential profit: $259.48
User PnL: -$25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $502.78

No position

Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.51

Yes position

Will Vitality win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.95

Yes position

Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.6

No position

Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.89

Yes position

Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the February meeting?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.5

No position

Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.54

No position

Will Kliff Kingsbury be the next Cleveland Browns Head Coach?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80

No position

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.76

No position

Will Megabonk win Sit Back and Relax in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.92

No position

Will F1® 25 win VR Game of the Year at the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.04

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.96

No position

Will Drake feature EsDeeKid on ICEMAN?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.32

No position

Will Drake feature Central Cee on ICEMAN?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.27

No position

Will Trump talk to Maria Corina Machado in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.24

Yes position

Will The Pitt win Best Ensemble in a Drama Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.76

Yes position

Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.06

No position

Will Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $36.98

Yes position

Will Owen Cooper win Best Actor in a Television Movie or Limited Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.9

Yes position

Will Britt Lower be nominated for Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.94

Yes position

Will Hacks be nominated for Best Ensemble in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.25

No position

Will Jensen Huang say "Taiwan" during NVIDIA keynote?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.06

Yes position

Will Erin Doherty be nominated for Best Actress in a Television Movie or Limited Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.97

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Luke Combs have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

No 72% 26.39 shares
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?

No 69.1% 7.24 shares
Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026?

No 63% 4.08 shares
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?

No 72% 106 shares
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?

No 66% 12.27 shares
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?

No 65% 13.85 shares
Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?

Yes 91% 58.24 shares
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?

No 75% 40 shares
Will Brittany Mahomes be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?

No 78% 8.33 shares
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?

No 82% 20.73 shares
Will Christina Koch be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

No 84% 7.14 shares
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?

No 82% 10.12 shares