Talyxion

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.55
Potential profit: $42.55
User PnL: -$20

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $29.23
Potential payout: $32.47
Potential profit: $3.25
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $31.91
Potential payout: $32.2
Potential profit: $0.29
User PnL: $0.65

No position

Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$20

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$15.1

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Current value: $15.29
Potential payout: $16.33
Potential profit: $1.04
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $15.15
Potential payout: $16.15
Potential profit: $0.99
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $14.84
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $1.29
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0.16

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $15.04
Potential payout: $15.53
Potential profit: $0.49
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $15.11
Potential payout: $15.29
Potential profit: $0.18
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$12.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on February 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.95

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on February 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.61
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will "It Depends - Chris Brown Featuring Bryson Tiller" win Best R&B Performance at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.4

No position

Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.89

No position

Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.99
Potential profit: $9.99
User PnL: -$1.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

2007 position

Counter-Strike: 2007 vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group C

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.04

No position

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.82

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.53

Yes position

Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.32

Leviatán Academy position

Valorant: 9z Team vs Leviatán Academy - Map 1 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.1

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 85.5%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $8.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.4

Under position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.35

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.2

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.79

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.27

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.85

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $4.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.6

eStar Pro position

Game Handicap: RNG.M (-1.5) vs eStar Pro (+1.5)

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.6

Yes position

Will "Alone - The Cure" win Best Alternative Music Performance at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 19?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on February 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.45

Yes position

Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.35

PRIME position

Counter-Strike: PRIME vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 Winner

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $4.3

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?