Polymarket Trader

johnwicks

0xe01bcad28dc1da91142c3947e399a40e6b69ba2a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.32K
Realized PnL: $2.15K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.13K
Potential profit: $4.13K
User PnL: -$99.03

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$1.28K

Yes position

Discord IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61.7%
Current value: $617
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $383
Multiplier: 1.62x
User PnL: $17

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $525.1
Potential profit: $525.1
User PnL: -$210.04

Yes position

Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $308
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $92
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $128

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $394.6
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $5.4
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $2.6

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$24.4

Pacers position

Pacers vs. Thunder

Ends Jun 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump visit China before September?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$17

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?

Ends Sep 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $419.99

Yes position

Zama auction clearing price above $0.04?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $248

Yes position

Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.6

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.5

Yes position

USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?

Ends Aug 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.6

No position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.5

No position

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: $90

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80

No position

Will France win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?

Ends Aug 9, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.74

No position

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.49

No position

Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.25

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55

Yes position

Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54

No position

Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

No position

Will MrBeast buy TikTok before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

No position

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.88

No position

Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.65

Yes position

Will the USA win Gold in Men's Basketball?

Ends Aug 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.33

Yes position

Biden drops out of presidential race?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22

No position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.29

No position

Stripe IPO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.84

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Yes 98.9% 86.52 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?

No 99.8% 500 shares
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Yes 99.5% 1,000 shares
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?

No 95.7% 692.03 shares
Stripe IPO in 2025?

No 98.5% 994 shares
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?

Yes 99.9% 1,950.9 shares
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run in 2025?

Yes 1.6% 249.99 shares
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?

No 99% 3,030.87 shares
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2025?

No 98.5% 1,352.92 shares
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?

No 97.5% 512.82 shares
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?

No 92% 538.5 shares
Will Perplexity AI buy TikTok?

No 94.8% 20 shares