No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $303.46
- Potential profit
- $303.46
- User PnL
- -$50.01
Polymarket Trader
shervins
0xe027f812b1eed7fc5cd7ad42262a3f041c42ab50
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $30.67
- Realized PnL
- $776.4
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.83
- Potential profit
- $47.83
- User PnL
- -$22
Yes position
Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.38
- Potential profit
- $34.38
- User PnL
- -$22
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.06
- Potential profit
- $31.06
- User PnL
- -$26
No position
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $30.67
- Potential payout
- $30.99
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.94
- Potential profit
- $15.94
- User PnL
- -$11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $462.89
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.93
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.03
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.7
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.77
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.99
Yes position
Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.79
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.05
Yes position
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.79
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.95
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47
Yes position
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.14
No position
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.61
Yes position
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71
Yes position
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39
No position
Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 16.5% 303.45 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes 79.3% 1,568.15 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 82.8% 2,138.29 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 96.8% 30.99 shares
- Will Jermaine Johnson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?Yes 92% 11.96 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 94% 2,138.3 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 99.4% 2,021.05 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?No 94.4% 30.71 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 95% 2,021.05 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No 98% 12.24 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 75% 1,934.67 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No 99.2% 1,475.26 shares