Polymarket Trader

Festka

0xe02c5438dfb907d5ac4cbf3967b45d14e4ed5d08

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $355.56K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

St. Johns Red Storm position

St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $100K
User PnL: -$34K

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.43K
Potential profit: $76.43K
User PnL: -$37.36K

Yes position

Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.79K
Potential profit: $71.79K
User PnL: -$3.27K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.47K
Potential profit: $60.47K
User PnL: -$7.38K

Yes position

Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.97K
Potential profit: $40.97K
User PnL: -$532.87

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.93K
Potential profit: $36.93K
User PnL: -$7.27K

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be above $140 on November 21?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.36K
Potential profit: $33.36K
User PnL: -$9.07K

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.88K
Potential profit: $27.88K
User PnL: -$8.09K

Yes position

Will Solana reach $160 November 24-30?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.04K
Potential profit: $21.04K
User PnL: -$2.1K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$1.92K

Yes position

Will Solana reach $190 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$720

Yes position

Will Solana reach $200 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$420

Yes position

Will Solana reach $150 November 24-30?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.92K
Potential profit: $19.92K
User PnL: -$9.16K

Bucks position

Bucks vs. Nuggets

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18K
Potential profit: $18K
User PnL: -$10.88K

Magic position

76ers vs. Magic

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.32K
Potential profit: $17.32K
User PnL: -$7.1K

No position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $15K
User PnL: -$1.5K

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.86K
Potential profit: $14.86K
User PnL: -$1.34K

Warriors position

Hawks vs. Warriors

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.6K
Potential profit: $14.6K
User PnL: -$10.22K

No position

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13K
Potential profit: $13K
User PnL: -$11.98K

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be above $140 on November 22?

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.17K
Potential profit: $10.17K
User PnL: -$2.76K

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$2.4K

No position

Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.99K
Potential profit: $9.99K
User PnL: -$6.1K

No position

Will Amy Allen win Songwriter of the Year, Non-Classical at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.62K
Potential profit: $9.62K
User PnL: -$3.46K

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.45K
Potential profit: $9.45K
User PnL: -$6.15K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Clippers

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.81K

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.34K

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.12K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.08K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.99K

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.32K

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.09K

Iowa State Cyclones position

Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.97K

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.89K

No position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.04K

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.81K

Yes position

Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-24?

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.7K

Jets position

Jets vs. Wild

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 November 24-30?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.32K

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. 76ers

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.76K

Utah position

Stars vs. Utah

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.2K

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.45K

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be above $140 on November 27?

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.01K

Yes position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.7K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 November 17-23?

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.47K

Hawks position

Hawks vs. Heat

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.59K

Hawks position

Hawks vs. Knicks

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.34K

Yes position

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.22K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 November 17-23?

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.32K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Yes 92.9% 604.44 shares
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Yes 94.4% 224 shares
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Yes 93.6% 3,074.2 shares
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Yes 97.4% 4,671 shares
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Yes 1.1% 49,001.78 shares
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 17% 1,090.5 shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?

Yes 63% 5,500 shares
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Yes 5% 1,038.03 shares
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 7% 90,937.52 shares
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 3.9% 5.01 shares
Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 37% 36.93 shares
Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Yes 47.2% 39.22 shares