Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 18.4%
- Current value
- $38.54K
- Potential payout
- $210K
- Potential profit
- $171.47K
- Multiplier
- 5.45x
- User PnL
- -$66.47K
Polymarket Trader
unwillingly-public
0xe0368af7f5777989b927b7ad0d420562fee8616c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $212.51K
- Realized PnL
- $306.77K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 81.7%
- Current value
- $171.47K
- Potential payout
- $210K
- Potential profit
- $38.54K
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $66.47K
No position
SAVE America Act becomes law by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $2.45K
- Potential payout
- $2.48K
- Potential profit
- $27.23
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $286.33
Yes position
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $61.44
- Potential payout
- $2.08K
- Potential profit
- $2.02K
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- -$81.74
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.08K
Yes position
U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.74K
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.98K
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.02K
Yes position
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.43K
Yes position
US government shutdown in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.68K
No position
Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.96K
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.78K
Yes position
Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.19K
Yes position
US government shutdown by Mar 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.98K
Yes position
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 3?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.95K
Yes position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.58K
Yes position
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.13K
No position
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.69K
Yes position
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.02K
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.49K
No position
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.77K
Yes position
Congress passes bill banning TikTok by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.3K
No position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.62K
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.98K
No position
Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.52K
Yes position
US gov shutdown/lapse on Mar 23?
Ends Mar 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.42K
No position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.41K
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?Yes 9.5% 1,328.56 shares
- Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?Yes 5% 1,887.17 shares
- Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?No 95.1% 975.37 shares
- James Comey arrested by April 29?Yes 98% 6,220.7 shares
- James Comey arrested by April 30?Yes 99% 1,160.73 shares
- Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?No 8.3% 6,291.96 shares
- Will the DHS shutdown end between April 1-4, 2026?Yes 11.6% 1,008.44 shares
- Will the DHS shutdown end between April 5-8, 2026?Yes 36.2% 873.96 shares
- Will the DHS shutdown end between April 1-4, 2026?Yes 21.8% 474.21 shares
- Will the DHS shutdown end between April 5-8, 2026?Yes 38.1% 978.99 shares
- Will the DHS shutdown end between April 5-8, 2026?Yes 38.2% 645.96 shares
- Will the DHS shutdown end between April 5-8, 2026?Yes 23.9% 77.67 shares