Polymarket Trader

adfasd

0xe03823b24b734099d3c77417b0ed6d8a7d0f53f5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $992.15
Realized PnL: $2.52K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $867.77
Potential payout: $953.59
Potential profit: $85.82
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $17.03

No position

Perena FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $62.99
Potential payout: $177.44
Potential profit: $114.45
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$64.65

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $50.82
Potential payout: $121
Potential profit: $70.18
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: -$48.4

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.3%
Current value: $6.78
Potential payout: $35.22
Potential profit: $28.44
Multiplier: 5.19x
User PnL: -$2.73

No position

Relay FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $3.79
Potential payout: $5.5
Potential profit: $1.71
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: -$0.44

Resolved Context

Closed positions

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $731.5

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.2%
Multiplier: 4.73x
User PnL: $538.94

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $319.73

Yes position

Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182.13

Yes position

Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.36

Yes position

DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.2

No position

USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $60.3

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.6

No position

Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.8

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.2

Yes position

Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.95

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.53

Yes position

Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.29

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.69

No position

Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 42%
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $28.04

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.25

Yes position

GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.7

No position

Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.1

Yes position

Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 87%
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $14.65

No position

Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 47.5%
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $14

No position

Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10

No position

Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7

No position

Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 73%
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $1.65

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 27?

Yes 97.5% 1,025.25 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

No 90% 203.77 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

No 89% 219.3 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.7% 4,113.92 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11% 12,341.77 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.9% 3,797.47 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.9% 12,658.23 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Yes 82% 109.76 shares
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?

No 36% 194 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Yes 79% 1,428.42 shares
Relay FDV above $100M one day after launch?

No 42.9% 99.98 shares
Cap FDV above $50M one day after launch?

No 8.9% 100 shares