No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $1.28K
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $3.21
- User PnL
- $0.64
Polymarket Trader
Bessent2028
0xe039faef89af2ed375f1f67ca44b0ba3e061a93d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.28K
- Realized PnL
- $176.3
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.3
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.35
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.41
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.68
No position
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.37
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.03
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.21
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.1
No position
Will Trump say "Third term" in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.06
No position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.19
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.03
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.98
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.63
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.34
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by May 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.73
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.04
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37
No position
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 7, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 99.7% 1,283.66 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 99.9% 1,279.8 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?No 99.8% 944.66 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?No 99.7% 109 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?No 99.7% 110 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?No 99.7% 10 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?No 99.6% 10 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?No 99.6% 65.85 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?No 99.5% 29 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?No 99.8% 1,275.61 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 99.9% 1,244.02 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No 99.5% 1,199.84 shares