Polymarket Trader

jilm

0xe03db5c44f79df6f4be1954ef30da82dc395189a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.53K
Realized PnL: $7.22K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Ethereum flipped in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.6K
User PnL: -$1.08K

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $47.74
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.05K
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: -$0.66

Down position

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $235
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $765
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $85

No position

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $507.44
Potential payout: $545.64
Potential profit: $38.19
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $7.44

No position

Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $496.22
Potential payout: $499.97
Potential profit: $3.75
User PnL: $41.25

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $188.64
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $265.91
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$11.36

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 88.9%
Current value: $371.93
Potential payout: $418.37
Potential profit: $46.44
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $71.93

No position

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $358
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $42
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $22

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $78
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $321.99
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $14

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $145.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $154.5
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$56.95

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $189.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $10.5
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $11.9

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 88.9%
Current value: $177.8
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $22.2
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $8.4
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $191.6
Multiplier: 23.81x
User PnL: -$63.6

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $170.98
Potential payout: $199.97
Potential profit: $29
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $23

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $24.22
Potential payout: $156.25
Potential profit: $132.03
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$75.78

No position

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $124
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: $24

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $64.71
Potential payout: $114.56
Potential profit: $49.84
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$35.29

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $106.24
Potential payout: $112.36
Potential profit: $6.12
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $6.24

No position

Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $102.44
Potential payout: $106.04
Potential profit: $3.61
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $2.44

Yes position

Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$52.95

No position

Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $85
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $15
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $6

Yes position

US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $12.55
Potential payout: $89.62
Potential profit: $77.07
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$17.45

No position

Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $39.45
Potential payout: $50.25
Potential profit: $10.8
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $18.34

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $550.45

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $479

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $464.71

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $453.4

Yes position

Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $452.32

Yes position

Assad out as President of Syria by March 31, 2025?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $391.1

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $382.43

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $349.99

100k position

Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $340.59

Yes position

Ethereum above $2,700 on February 14?

Ends Feb 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $311.25

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $274.12

No position

Will ChatGPT have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $264.29

No position

Ethereum all time high by September 30?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $249.71

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $229.22

Yes position

Yoon arrested by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $229.04

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $228

3000 position

Will Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $220

Yes position

Trump wins every swing state?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.99

Yes position

Will ETHBTC be less than .028 on February 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189.99

No position

Will Palisades wildfire spread to Santa Monica by Sunday?

Ends Jan 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.88

Yes position

Will Kathy Hochul endorse Mamdani?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184

No position

Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180

Yes position

Ethereum above $3,300 on January 3?

Ends Jan 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.84

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Down 15% 1,000 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

No 67.5% 300 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

No 71.7% 418.37 shares
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Yes 44% 454.55 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 88.8% 200 shares
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 4.4% 1,100 shares
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 18% 200 shares
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 88.4% 12.37 shares
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Yes 80% 12.39 shares
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?

No 94.3% 106.04 shares
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

No 91.6% 545.64 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

No 89% 112.36 shares