Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
panda233
0xe050265c74bc62d03c59126b764a95fcac3018cf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $20.94
- Realized PnL
- $83.56
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $20.89
- Potential payout
- $199.93
- Potential profit
- $179.04
- Multiplier
- 9.57x
- User PnL
- -$19.39
Yes position
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.95
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$1
N
No position
Will the announcers say "Red Devil" during the New Zealand vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.48
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.41
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.29
Yes position
Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72
No position
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.31
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 39.4%
- Multiplier
- 2.54x
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will Trump say "Tariff" 7+ times during the America Business Forum on November 5?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes 21.3% 100 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Yes 1.4% 71.03 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes 1.2% 100 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Yes 1.2% 28.96 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.5% 100 shares
- Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 6.6% 37.43 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 1.1% 100 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 2% 50 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.1% 52 shares
- Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 13% 36.29 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes 23.5% 5 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.1% 50 shares