CrackedTrader

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $18.81
Potential payout: $9.4K
Potential profit: $9.38K
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$9.4

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $40.94
Potential payout: $9.1K
Potential profit: $9.06K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $17.2

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 3.5% in May?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.62K
Potential profit: $8.62K
User PnL: -$8.62

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 8.0% and 9.0%?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $3.65
Potential payout: $7.31K
Potential profit: $7.31K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$11.94

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.84
Potential payout: $5.67K
Potential profit: $5.67K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.83

No position

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.2K
Potential profit: $3.2K
User PnL: -$22.22

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 4.3% in June?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $20.38
Potential payout: $2.91K
Potential profit: $2.89K
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$4.97

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be below 1.0%?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.86
Potential payout: $2.86K
Potential profit: $2.86K
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$2.86

Yes position

Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $7.07
Potential payout: $2.83K
Potential profit: $2.82K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.41

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 7.0% and 8.0%?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $1.91K
Potential profit: $1.91K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$6.69

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 4.0% in April?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.78K
Potential profit: $1.78K
User PnL: -$28.88

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 4.1% in June?

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $40.39
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $1.48K
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $3.81

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 3.7% in May?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $1.24K
User PnL: -$1.63

Yes position

Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.2% and 5.5%?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $4.3
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$24.63

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 4.7% or more in June?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3.18
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $1.06K
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$56.52

Yes position

Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than 4.0%?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.39
Potential payout: $955.74
Potential profit: $953.35
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0.48

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 4.5% in June?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.76
Potential payout: $880.29
Potential profit: $878.53
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $10.2
Potential payout: $407.88
Potential profit: $397.68
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: $1.22

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $13.02
Potential payout: $62.16
Potential profit: $49.14
Multiplier: 4.77x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.42
Potential profit: $51.42
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 3.2% in April?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.71
Potential profit: $49.71
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.98
Potential profit: $4.98
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $1.29
Potential profit: $1.19
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $75.9

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?

Implied probability: 1.4%
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $70.3

Yes position

Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $69.61

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.6% in March?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $61.8

Yes position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in March?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $46.94

Yes position

Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.5%?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $41.25

Yes position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.01

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% in February?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $35.12

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% in March?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.34

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in March?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.21

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in March?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.86

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.1% in February?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.85

Yes position

Will the ECB announce an increase at the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.03

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.0% in March?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.32

Yes position

Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be over 5.0%?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.23

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in March?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.83

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 3.9% in May?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.65

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.84

Yes position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in March?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.84

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.1% in March?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.85

Yes position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in March?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.72

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 3.9% in April?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.86

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in March?