Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $12.92
- Potential payout
- $69.84
- Potential profit
- $56.92
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $0.92
Polymarket Trader
IokaouAsul
0xe05b2cd7702b20c99637375fcef0d74194ff6d6e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $145.23
- Realized PnL
- $476.78
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $4.88
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $20.13
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C or higher on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $22.49
- Potential payout
- $22.54
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $5.49
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $16.99
- Potential payout
- $20.97
- Potential profit
- $3.98
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $5.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $19.79
- Potential payout
- $20.21
- Potential profit
- $0.42
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $5.79
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $7.65
- Potential payout
- $17.2
- Potential profit
- $9.54
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $9.69
- Potential payout
- $15.38
- Potential profit
- $5.69
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $9.67
- Potential payout
- $13.43
- Potential profit
- $3.76
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 38.4%
- Current value
- $5.03
- Potential payout
- $13.13
- Potential profit
- $8.09
- Multiplier
- 2.61x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $7.56
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $4.94
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$1.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $6.12
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $5.88
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $2.1
- Potential payout
- $10.64
- Potential profit
- $8.54
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $6.53
- Potential payout
- $10.53
- Potential profit
- $4
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $10.42
- Potential profit
- $10.41
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.4%
- Current value
- $7.67
- Potential payout
- $10.31
- Potential profit
- $2.64
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $6.14
- Potential payout
- $9.52
- Potential profit
- $3.38
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.42
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.42
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.46
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.41
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.59
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C or higher on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.91
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.91
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.21
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.85
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 25?Yes 76.7% 3.91 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 25?Yes 32% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 25?Yes 85% 4.71 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 25?Yes 37% 11.32 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 25?Yes 78.2% 6.39 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 25?Yes 38.7% 11.53 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 25?Yes 50% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 25?Yes 41% 14.06 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 26?Yes 60% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 25?Yes 72% 12.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on June 24?Yes 99.9% 12.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 25?Yes 42% 14.07 shares