No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.79
Polymarket Trader
Guaranteebet100
0xe08ae26681efd6a7f9d2649dcaae2ad2c6002303
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $58.95
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.62
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $6.27
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.14
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.71
Yes position
Will Lee Jun-seok win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.79
No position
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.62
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $6.27
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.14
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.71
Yes position
Will Lee Jun-seok win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.27
No position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 90.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.98
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Multiplier
- 29.41x
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Will the Raiders draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?
Ends Apr 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
VCU position
VCU vs. Richmond
Ends Mar 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.86
Auburn position
Arkansas vs. Auburn
Ends Feb 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Ajax win the UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Elon tweet 125–149 times May 9–16?
Ends May 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will the next Pope be from North America?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Trump x Putin talk by Friday?
Ends Apr 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 52% 157 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No 96.3% 115 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 66% 157 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 94.6% 80 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 96.3% 108 shares
- Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 98.4% 105 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 15% 313 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 93.9% 104 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 93.7% 104 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 83% 12.74 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 83% 8 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 83% 121 shares