maxiar

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $1.09K
User PnL: -$286.82

Yes position

Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $893.09
Potential profit: $893.09
User PnL: -$62

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.42
Potential payout: $837.93
Potential profit: $837.51
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$109.58

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $790
Potential profit: $790
User PnL: -$120.64

Yes position

Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $10.32
Potential payout: $737.04
Potential profit: $726.72
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$29.67

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $2.57
Potential payout: $733.33
Potential profit: $730.77
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$107.43

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $700
User PnL: -$85

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $520.58
Potential profit: $520.58
User PnL: -$30.84

No position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $353.87
Potential profit: $353.87
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $58.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $241.5
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$61.5

Yes position

Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $48.96
Potential payout: $208.33
Potential profit: $159.38
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $205.61
Potential profit: $205.61
User PnL: -$44

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.92
Potential profit: $156.92
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $3.69
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $121.31
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$16.31

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $11.96
Potential payout: $119.05
Potential profit: $107.08
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$3.04

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110.5
Potential profit: $110.5
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will a player representing Brazil be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $1.84
Potential payout: $105.14
Potential profit: $103.3
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$8.16

Yes position

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.2
Potential profit: $95.2
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.29
Potential profit: $89.29
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $286.01

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.26

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.07

Yes position

Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.4

No position

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $57.37

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.77

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $46.68

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.27

No position

Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.55

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.82

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.75

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Iran strike on US military by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.9

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.59

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 12, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.45

No position

Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.2

Yes position

Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.91

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.18

Yes position

Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.13

No position

Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.38

No position

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?