Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.6%
- Current value
- $202.82
- Potential payout
- $2.12K
- Potential profit
- $1.92K
- Multiplier
- 10.47x
- User PnL
- $87.82
Polymarket Trader
0xE09108661b229AF9Dc07c45702878a430D571Cb6-1778402006168
0xe09108661b229af9dc07c45702878a430d571cb6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $623.83
- Realized PnL
- $356.63
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $220.42
- Potential payout
- $1.92K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $105.42
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $200.6
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $979.4
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- $85.6
Yes position
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $269.48
- Potential profit
- $269.48
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.15
- Potential profit
- $199.15
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $182.02
- Potential profit
- $182.02
- User PnL
- -$16.2
Yes position
Will Cal Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $170.42
- Potential profit
- $170.42
- User PnL
- -$11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $122.73
- Potential profit
- $122.73
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Cabinet meeting?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $108.58
- Potential profit
- $108.58
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102.42
- Potential profit
- $102.42
- User PnL
- -$3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $93.4
- Potential profit
- $93.4
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85.23
- Potential profit
- $85.23
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.42
- Potential profit
- $83.42
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Estonia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.03
- Potential profit
- $83.03
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.73
- Potential profit
- $60.73
- User PnL
- -$16
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $58.82
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.59
- Potential profit
- $56.59
- User PnL
- -$20
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.87
- Potential profit
- $53.87
- User PnL
- -$6.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.48
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.71
No position
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.73
Yes position
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes 5.4% 2,123.73 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes 9.7% 1,180 shares
- Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes 6% 1,916.67 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-09? AND Will United States win on 2026-07-06? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?9.6% 376.04 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-09? AND Will United States win on 2026-07-06? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?9.6% 503.89 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-09? AND Will United States win on 2026-07-06? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?9.6% 503.89 shares
- Will England win on 2026-07-01?Yes 94% 1.06 shares
- Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?Yes 12% 8.33 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?Yes 65% 3.08 shares
- Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 74% 2.04 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?Yes 54% 3.7 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes 85% 5.88 shares