No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $301.21
- Potential profit
- $301.21
- User PnL
- -$29.7
Polymarket Trader
UsualSuspects
0xe097a66a04a3afd6de8929d19fcc41211402d811
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $469.63
- Realized PnL
- $409.03
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $57.6
- Potential payout
- $64
- Potential profit
- $6.4
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $16.66
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.1
- Potential profit
- $48.1
- User PnL
- -$9.5
No position
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.05
- Potential profit
- $48.05
- User PnL
- -$23.43
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Current value
- $43.73
- Potential payout
- $46.6
- Potential profit
- $2.87
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $5.43
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $35
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $35.28
- Potential payout
- $36.13
- Potential profit
- $0.85
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $14.73
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $33.43
- Potential payout
- $34.73
- Potential profit
- $1.3
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $5.43
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $31.01
- Potential payout
- $33.53
- Potential profit
- $2.51
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $3.11
No position
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.8%
- Current value
- $25.13
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $4.88
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $3.93
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $27.58
- Potential payout
- $28.99
- Potential profit
- $1.41
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $7.58
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.86
- Potential profit
- $27.86
- User PnL
- -$14.6
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $21.55
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $2.26
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $6.55
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $20.11
- Potential payout
- $22.99
- Potential profit
- $2.87
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.2
- Potential profit
- $22.2
- User PnL
- -$7.8
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $18.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $1.3
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $4.3
No position
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $16.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $3.1
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $18.79
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $1.21
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.55
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$14.8
No position
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.8%
- Current value
- $16.76
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $3.24
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $15.6
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $4.4
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.4%
- Current value
- $17.67
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $2.32
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will BP be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $16.98
- Potential payout
- $19.19
- Potential profit
- $2.21
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $17.8
- Potential payout
- $18.75
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.39
Yes position
James Comey indicted before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.98
No position
James Comey arrested by October 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.11
No position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.71
No position
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.11
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.09
Yes position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.31
No position
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by December 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.75
No position
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.42
No position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.19
No position
Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.32
No position
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.23
No position
Tiger Woods x Vanessa Trump engaged in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.05
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.4
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson be named StopAntisemitism's 2025 Antisemite of the Year?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.26
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.63
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.37
No position
Will Trump announce a cut to U.S. military or intelligence aid to Ukraine by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.77
No position
Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.3
Yes position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.01
Yes position
Will anyone vote "No" to releasing the Epstein files?
Ends Nov 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.41
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.3
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 14% 7.14 shares
- Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes 95.6% 10 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 0.2% 137.74 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 0.4% 250 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No 56% 17.86 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 36% 13.89 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes 5.9% 35.38 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 60% 10 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 50% 10 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Yes 71% 7.04 shares
- Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?Yes 67% 7.46 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Yes 60% 8.33 shares