Polymarket Trader

Bebel003

0xe0a20e75c2a668cb063eef914fa860a9458ac6b6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $34.34
Realized PnL: $9.46
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $3.3
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $26.7
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $6.84
Potential payout: $15.9
Potential profit: $9.06
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: $1.91

Yes position

Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.72
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $12.29
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$5.64

Yes position

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $1.85
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.15
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$4.55

Yes position

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $5.54
Potential payout: $9
Potential profit: $3.47
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $3.98
Potential payout: $7.81
Potential profit: $3.83
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: -$1.02

No position

Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $5.95
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $0.67

No position

James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $5.73
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $0.27
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $0.44
Potential payout: $1.06
Potential profit: $0.62
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$0.23

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.51

Yes position

Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06

No position

Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51

No position

Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

No position

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.66

No position

Will SOFR hit 3.72% (High) between April 1 and April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Yes 31% 15.9 shares
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Yes 13% 30 shares
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Yes 63% 1.06 shares
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

Yes 60% 9 shares
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?

No 92% 6 shares
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Yes 64% 10 shares
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?

Yes 48.9% 13 shares
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?

Yes 66% 9 shares
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?

No 89% 6 shares
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?

No 88% 6 shares
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?

No 88% 6 shares
Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by June 30?

No 77% 6.41 shares