Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $30.58
- Potential payout
- $470.42
- Potential profit
- $439.84
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$58.8
Polymarket Trader
hyphy
0xe0a355ef623ae7553fcaf1521c74c0b0dcc9cd87
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $30.58
- Realized PnL
- $1.86
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $144.08
- Potential profit
- $144.08
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $52.63
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 19% 470.42 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETUp 99% 2.02 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Yes 19% 52.63 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Yes 9% 142.85 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Yes 7% 142.86 shares
- Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?Yes 3.5% 144.08 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - February 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ETUp 2% 49.99 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETUp 52% 1.78 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETUp 53% 1.83 shares