Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3AM ET
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.07
- Potential profit
- $8.07
- User PnL
- -$5.57
Polymarket Trader
0xe0a4...ce71
0xe0a4e7a083c445bb53c8bbcbea212cfe08a3ce71
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $39.6
- Realized PnL
- $3.7
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8PM ET
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.4
- Potential profit
- $5.4
- User PnL
- -$5.35
Yes position
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 13.2%
- Current value
- $0.68
- Potential payout
- $5.17
- Potential profit
- $4.49
- Multiplier
- 7.58x
- User PnL
- -$4.48
No position
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 85.7%
- Current value
- $4.43
- Potential payout
- $5.17
- Potential profit
- $0.74
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.73
No position
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $4.88
- Potential payout
- $5.17
- Potential profit
- $0.28
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
No position
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 91.6%
- Current value
- $4.73
- Potential payout
- $5.17
- Potential profit
- $0.43
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
No position
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $4.99
- Potential payout
- $5.17
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $5.05
- Potential payout
- $5.17
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $4.98
- Potential payout
- $5.17
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
Will Japan GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.11
- Potential profit
- $5.11
- User PnL
- -$5.1
Yes position
Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $4.93
- Potential payout
- $4.98
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Antonio Maíllo be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $4.93
- Potential payout
- $4.97
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Valencia win on 2025-11-01?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-11-01?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-10-31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Bill O’Dea win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Trump say "Longest Government Shutdown" this week? (November 17 – 23)
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 5PM ET
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will “Frankenstein” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will “A House of Dynamite” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 RBC Heritage?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3PM ET
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 7AM ET
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win Queens in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Up position
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on November 26?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of June 15 2026?No 99.9% 5.02 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?No 98.9% 5.08 shares
- Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?No 99.9% 5.02 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.6% 4.99 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 99.8% 4.98 shares
- Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?No 99.8% 4.99 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No 99.3% 5.01 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?No 98.4% 5.05 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 9?Yes 99.8% 4.98 shares
- Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?Yes 99.9% 4.98 shares
- Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes 99.6% 5 shares
- Will 200 to 229 tornadoes occur in the United States in May 2026?No 99.9% 4.99 shares