Polymarket Trader

block6

0xe0a82eae3135a67417885b50ce8ee74935f5a9d3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.52K
Realized PnL: $1.72K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $433.78
Potential payout: $3.21K
Potential profit: $2.78K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$2.08

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $582.26
Potential payout: $2.99K
Potential profit: $2.4K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $5.19

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $420.75
Potential payout: $1.59K
Potential profit: $1.17K
Multiplier: 3.78x
User PnL: $187.33

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $250.6
Potential payout: $1.57K
Potential profit: $1.32K
Multiplier: 6.27x
User PnL: $111.84

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $896.63
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $165.1
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $434.13

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $120.91
Potential payout: $291.35
Potential profit: $170.44
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $39.52

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $269.79
Potential profit: $269.79
User PnL: -$62.72

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $262.64
Potential profit: $262.64
User PnL: -$38.41

No position

Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $161.5
Potential payout: $235.93
Potential profit: $74.44
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $47.46

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $144.41
Potential payout: $191.28
Potential profit: $46.86
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $65.63

No position

Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $85.8
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $44.2
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $48.4

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $24.6
Potential payout: $119.99
Potential profit: $95.39
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$27.8

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $15.7
Potential payout: $116.32
Potential profit: $100.61
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$1.2

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $94.6
Potential payout: $113.29
Potential profit: $18.69
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $40.4

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $23.65
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $86.35
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$37.75

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $25
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $75
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$40.4

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $51.18
Potential payout: $92.22
Potential profit: $41.04
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $3.48

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $23.86
Potential payout: $90.05
Potential profit: $66.19
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$0.44

No position

Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $40
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $40
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$11.8

No position

Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $37.8
Potential payout: $69.99
Potential profit: $32.2
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: -$3.15

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $61.04
Potential payout: $68.2
Potential profit: $7.16
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $19.84

No position

USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.77
Potential profit: $67.77
User PnL: -$42.9

No position

Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $10.33
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $56.33
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$30.17

No position

Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $19.48
Potential payout: $56.49
Potential profit: $37.01
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$24.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $206.07

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.49

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.9

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $88.43

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.19

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $79.46

No position

Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.22

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.5

No position

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.18

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.82

No position

EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.8

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.83

No position

EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.93

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.92

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.4

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94.5%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $41.64

No position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.86

Yes position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39

No position

Iran leadership change by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.3

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.1%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $27.43

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94.5%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $26.3

No position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $25.28

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 19% 26.32 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 19% 15.79 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 49% 6.12 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Down 94% 5.68 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Down 78% 2.56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Down 72% 2.78 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Down 64% 3.13 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Down 69% 2.9 shares
Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch?

No 67% 9.48 shares
Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch?

No 67% 12.65 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Down 72% 1.39 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Down 69% 1.45 shares