Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $1.88
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $78.12
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Polymarket Trader
khdp04lxzzqc
0xe0ae96e744503646c9206e49bb09088c433bcb88
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.28
- Realized PnL
- -$8.53
- Win rate
- 52.4%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $3.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $46.75
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $3.47
- Potential payout
- $26.67
- Potential profit
- $23.2
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $2.71
- Potential payout
- $9.52
- Potential profit
- $6.81
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$1.29
Yes position
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $2.34
- Potential payout
- $6.9
- Potential profit
- $4.55
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$1.66
Yes position
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.8%
- Current value
- $0.56
- Potential payout
- $6.36
- Potential profit
- $5.8
- Multiplier
- 11.36x
- User PnL
- -$3.44
No position
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $4.07
- Potential payout
- $4.4
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.53
Y
Yes position
Will Trump post "Crime" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% by the end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.0% by the end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.45
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.64
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.12
Yes position
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 91.8% 4.25 shares
- Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?Yes 15% 26.67 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 88.6% 0.24 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 88.9% 4.5 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?Yes 8% 50 shares
- Will Trump post "Crime" on Truth Social this week?Yes 93% 4.3 shares
- Will Trump post "Crime" on Truth Social this week?Yes 87% 4.6 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No 64% 9.69 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 83% 3.85 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.5% 80 shares
- Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?No 85% 0.06 shares
- Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?No 85% 0.02 shares