Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $38.41
- Potential payout
- $454.55
- Potential profit
- $416.14
- Multiplier
- 11.83x
- User PnL
- -$61.59
Polymarket Trader
lurker123
0xe0c7be1ecf0a4e643c10bb17f6cccbd56b96e840
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $39.44
- Realized PnL
- $301.49
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $2.04
- Potential profit
- $1.01
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Kristi Noem out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $288.74
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.74
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 22% 454.55 shares
- Kristi Noem out by March 31?Yes 75.6% 527.32 shares
- Kristi Noem out by March 31?Yes 72.4% 579.32 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 94.1% 211.03 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 96.6% 9.08 shares
- Trump out as President before GTA VI?No 49% 2.04 shares