Polymarket Trader

unsecured7308

0xe0d9407f4beec6a1c2dfa36f02f327303ebf8483

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.63K
Realized PnL: $5.4K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.9K
Potential profit: $3.9K
User PnL: -$200

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 86.4%
Current value: $2.63K
Potential payout: $3.04K
Potential profit: $415.42
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $515.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $425.73
Potential profit: $425.73
User PnL: -$400

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $258.42
Potential profit: $258.42
User PnL: -$145

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $230.71
Potential profit: $230.71
User PnL: -$179.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170.88
Potential profit: $170.88
User PnL: -$120

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $134.45
Potential profit: $134.45
User PnL: -$70

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.23
Potential profit: $113.23
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.79
Potential profit: $78.79
User PnL: -$78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.58
Potential profit: $68.58
User PnL: -$50

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$30

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.99
Potential profit: $59.99
User PnL: -$35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.35
Potential profit: $34.35
User PnL: -$15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.5
Potential profit: $24.5
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $11.36
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $11.36
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.87
Potential profit: $10.87
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.53
Potential profit: $10.53
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.25
Potential profit: $7.25
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 95.9%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.67K

No position

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $553.92

No position

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 21.5%
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $534.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $354.01

No position

Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $289.91

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $231.35

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.16

No position

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $196.76

No position

Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.5

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.87

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.55

No position

Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.86

No position

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.87

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.04

Yes position

Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.44

No position

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.51

No position

Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 16, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.88

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.46

No position

Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 15, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.24

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Up 51% 19.61 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Up 53% 18.87 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Up 52.1% 95.97 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Down 97% 20.62 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Down 74% 13.51 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Down 71% 28.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Up 31% 322.58 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Up 5.6% 1,797.89 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Up 7% 351.96 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Up 4.3% 1,747.44 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Up 83% 36.14 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Up 60% 20 shares