No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $13.62
Polymarket Trader
valeriakenzie9987
0xe0e3a98a4fc711ac494819986cc940dcc7daadef
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $68.08
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.67
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $8.23
No position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $5.88
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.32
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $3.28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $13.62
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.67
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $8.23
No position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $5.88
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.32
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $3.28
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.05
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- $2.45
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $103000 on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.05
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.88
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $1.55
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $1.54
No position
Will Lee Jun-seok win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Will Elon tweet 575-599 times March 7-14?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78000 and $80000 on Mar 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will Jerome Powell say "Tariff" during the March meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will another coalition form the next German Government?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 72% 261 shares
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes 14% 38 shares
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes 14% 380 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No 88% 158 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No 88% 158 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 3.4% 52.37 shares
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No 86% 199 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 70% 227 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Yes 2% 15 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Yes 6% 208 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 15% 129 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 16% 89 shares