Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $625.59
- Potential profit
- $625.59
- User PnL
- -$517.96
Polymarket Trader
sunnyyy
0xe0ea1457e9e4dfb0a685bf3d0a355e8f8f9d599a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $273.88
- Realized PnL
- $483.21
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $273.88
- Potential payout
- $296.09
- Potential profit
- $22.21
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $8.69
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $481.85
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $62.4
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.78
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$90.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes 89.6% 296.09 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?Yes 51% 520 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?Yes 83% 170.26 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?Yes 83% 312.02 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?Yes 83% 15.64 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?Yes 52% 583.25 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?Yes 39% 20 shares
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes 34% 200 shares
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes 10.1% 3,230.36 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No 69% 500.6 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No 63.9% 500.61 shares