Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13K
- Potential profit
- $13K
- User PnL
- -$686.1
Polymarket Trader
CompulsiveGambler
0xe0f1e7751df4035f78a5eb2f4296c98b4d5bc4bd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $48.33K
- Realized PnL
- $35.01K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $3.73K
- Potential payout
- $7.11K
- Potential profit
- $3.38K
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$564.86
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $6.03K
- Potential payout
- $6.28K
- Potential profit
- $257.68
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $786.21
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $5.68K
- Potential payout
- $5.78K
- Potential profit
- $98.31
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $335.15
No position
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $5.24K
- Potential payout
- $5.27K
- Potential profit
- $34.27
- User PnL
- $695.31
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $1.81K
- Potential payout
- $4.46K
- Potential profit
- $2.65K
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$150.64
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.3%
- Current value
- $2.88K
- Potential payout
- $4.28K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- -$86.04
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $3.55K
- Potential payout
- $4.2K
- Potential profit
- $651
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $90.64
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $151.3
- Potential payout
- $3.4K
- Potential profit
- $3.25K
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$100.69
No position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $2.84K
- Potential payout
- $3.06K
- Potential profit
- $214.04
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $544.03
No position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $2.73K
- Potential payout
- $2.88K
- Potential profit
- $149.59
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $829.26
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $2.28K
- Potential payout
- $2.3K
- Potential profit
- $21.85
- User PnL
- $133.06
No position
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $2.22K
- Potential payout
- $2.25K
- Potential profit
- $33.79
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $45.17
No position
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $2.08K
- Potential payout
- $2.13K
- Potential profit
- $51.11
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $317.14
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $1.86K
- Potential payout
- $1.87K
- Potential profit
- $9.36
- User PnL
- $65.1
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- User PnL
- -$1.29K
No position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $1.43K
- Potential payout
- $1.69K
- Potential profit
- $261.79
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$49.06
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $37.05
- Potential payout
- $1.61K
- Potential profit
- $1.57K
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- -$204.66
No position
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $938
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $462
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- -$32
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $1.39K
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $10.5
- User PnL
- $425.6
No position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $807.12
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $329.67
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- -$36.85
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$681.99
No position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $644.98
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $439.02
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$79.73
Yes position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $5.82
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$121.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.59K
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57K
Yes position
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3K
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22K
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03K
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76K
No position
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68K
No position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68K
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43K
Yes position
$BTC dips below $45k before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.33K
No position
RedNote/Xiaohongshu #1 app on Jan 24?
Ends Jan 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
No position
Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
Y
Yes position
Will U.S. GDP growth be between 0% and -1% in Q1 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
Yes position
Will $BTC reach 70k in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
Yes position
Will egg prices be between $5.75 and $6.00 in February?
Ends Mar 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
No position
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
No position
Will Russia enter Borova by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
No position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
No position
Will Russia capture Yablunivka before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Yes position
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Yes position
FriendTech market cap less than $1b one day after launch?
Ends May 3, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $985.71
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $976
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?No 95% 500 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?No 91% 1,040.97 shares
- Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?No 98.9% 1,076.89 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 35.3% 254.33 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?No 80% 85.46 shares
- Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan O/U 2.5Over 5.9% 24 shares
- Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?No 99.2% 777.99 shares
- Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?No 72.6% 147.68 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.2% 800 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 62.9% 254.33 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 12% 400 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes 69% 300 shares