Polymarket Trader

mi44

0xe105ffc3b496a214da0c6cfbebd8e05b88903776

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $432
Realized PnL: $471.61
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $6.75
Potential payout: $499.93
Potential profit: $493.18
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$2.25

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $139.64
Potential payout: $209.98
Potential profit: $70.34
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $3.15

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $5.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $194.5
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $40.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $159.9
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: $4.1

Yes position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $67
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $133
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$19

Yes position

Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$90

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $6.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $93.5
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $88.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $11.5
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $63.51
Potential payout: $87.6
Potential profit: $24.09
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$3.94

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $14.5
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $5.5
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$15.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.8

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $65.1

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $42

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $40

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.92

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.1

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.2

No position

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.4%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $19

No position

Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18

No position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16

Yes position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.36

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.5

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.2%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $9.8

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Timberwolves position

Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

No position

US strike on Mexico by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $8

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.3

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.2

Republicans position

Senate control after 2024 election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.24

No position

Ethereum above $3,500 on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.15

No position

Will Eric Adams drop out by September 15?

Ends Sep 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

No position

Ethereum above $2,600 on October 25?

Ends Oct 25, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.25

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 77% 20 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 67% 10 shares
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Yes 57.1% 53.66 shares
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

No 94.7% 100 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Yes 99% 120 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 39% 200 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?

No 10% 40 shares
Oeiras 3: Francisco Comesana vs Frederico Ferreira Silva

Francisco Comesana 17% 19 shares
Oeiras 3: Francisco Comesana vs Frederico Ferreira Silva

Francisco Comesana 46% 19.35 shares
BMW Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Marc-Andrea Huesler

Marc-Andrea Huesler 0.1% 24 shares
Barcelona Open: Ignacio Buse vs Corentin Moutet

Corentin Moutet 75% 30 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

No 55% 388.35 shares