Yes position
US military action against Iran by Friday?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$967.22
Polymarket Trader
SMO
0xe12a32cf11478540e6a832dc52b84909731dd428
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $67.87K
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.01K
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran by Friday?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.95K
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.46K
Yes position
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
Ends Oct 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.33K
Yes position
US military action against Iran by Saturday?
Ends Jun 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91K
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $947.74
Yes position
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $796.56
No position
Another Houthi strike on Israel in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $386.17
No position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $188.7
Yes position
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.62
Yes position
US military action against Iran in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Israel military response against Iran today?
Ends Oct 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$243.45
Yes position
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
Ends Oct 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$374.18
Yes position
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$979.4
Yes position
Another Iran strike on Israel in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.43K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US military action against Iran by Saturday?Yes 5.9% 17,861.01 shares
- US military action against Iran by Friday?Yes 4.8% 20,000 shares
- US military action against Iran before July?Yes 61.5% 468 shares
- US military action against Iran before July?Yes 60.4% 1,038.11 shares
- US military action against Iran before July?Yes 60% 400 shares
- Israel military action against Iran by Friday?Yes 18.1% 11,044.12 shares
- Israel military action against Iran by Friday?Yes 14% 10,000 shares
- Israel military action against Iran before July?Yes 19.3% 34,700 shares
- Another Houthi strike on Israel in May?No 71.8% 2,558.6 shares
- Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?Yes 7% 1,704.55 shares
- Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?Yes 64.5% 1,704.55 shares
- Another Iran strike on Israel in October?Yes 9.7% 27,498.91 shares