Up position
Solana Up or Down - February 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $927
- Potential profit
- $927
- User PnL
- -$472.77
Polymarket Trader
7july
@BobVagi93594427
0xe1360c054d215b48b90b46f7c094efe711eecace
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $576.58
- Realized PnL
- $1.75K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499
- Potential profit
- $499
- User PnL
- -$326.85
SpaceX position
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $371
- Potential payout
- $371
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $81.62
Anthropic position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $192.57
- Potential payout
- $262
- Potential profit
- $69.43
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $56.33
Yes position
Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $147
- Potential profit
- $147
- User PnL
- -$32.34
Yes position
Google Gemini Parlay
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$6.9
Yes position
Rippling IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $2.57
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $16.44
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.05
No position
Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.6%
- Current value
- $9.19
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $1.81
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $1.26
- Potential payout
- $3.4
- Potential profit
- $2.14
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.22
- Potential profit
- $1.22
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will ‘The Fall-Off’ debut week album sales be between 250k and 300k?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $275.94
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240.09
No position
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.14
Yes position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $90.55
No position
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $82.94
Yes position
Will Trump post "DHS" on Truth Social this week? (March 15)
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $79.31
No position
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.11
No position
Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.93
Appalachian State Mountaineers position
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.32
Yes position
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.89
Yes position
Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.92
Yes position
Will Ryan Seacrest say "Kiss" on New Year's Rockin' Eve?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $54.18
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.8
Yes position
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48.8
Y
Yes position
Will Pete Carroll be fired by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.68
Yes position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.37
Yes position
Will Exponent launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.51
Yes position
Will "Crazy" be said 15+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.64
Yes position
Will Bugonia be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38
Yes position
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.96
Yes position
Will turnout in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate primary be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000 voters?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.34
Yes position
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33.11
Yes position
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $28.4
Yes position
Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No 55% 77 shares
- Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No 55% 20 shares
- Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No 55% 178 shares
- Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No 57% 212 shares
- Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No 56% 124 shares
- Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No 80% 611 shares
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Yes 57% 16.16 shares
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Yes 57% 19.6 shares
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Yes 57% 0.37 shares
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Yes 57% 20 shares
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Yes 57% 8 shares
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Yes 55% 12 shares