Yes position
Will Databricks have the second highest private market valuation on July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.1%
- Current value
- $27.8
- Potential payout
- $66.1
- Potential profit
- $38.3
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $3.4
Polymarket Trader
Lilahsada
0xe13d917a98b52d349a0ded057c4f6012d9664633
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $27.8
- Realized PnL
- -$3.27
- Win rate
- 8.3%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will the announcers say "Submission" during Benoit Saint-Denis vs Paddy Pimblett?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.11
- Potential profit
- $4.11
- User PnL
- -$1.89
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
N
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.23
N
No position
Will Rob Reiner – “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?
Ends Sep 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
No position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.36
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.38
N
No position
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Y
Yes position
Will Michelle Pfeiffer – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series?
Ends Sep 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Y
Yes position
Coca-Cola (KO) Q2 global unit case volume growth <3.5%?
Ends Jul 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.58
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.82
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No 6% 5 shares
- Will the announcers say "Submission" during Benoit Saint-Denis vs Paddy Pimblett?No 1.7% 63.69 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?No 69% 5 shares
- Will anyone say "Power" 5+ times during Big Brother E2?No 1% 47.8 shares
- Will "Gus" - A Mounted Tyrannosaurus Rex Skeleton sell for at least $40m at auction?Yes 1% 46.4 shares
- Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 55.5% 110.8 shares
- Will Joseph Chaplik win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 5–10%?Yes 1% 10 shares
- Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in July?Yes 27.4% 44.6 shares
- Will Rob Reiner – “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?No 49.2% 18.36 shares
- Will Rob Reiner – “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?No 83.7% 25.03 shares
- Coca-Cola (KO) Q2 global unit case volume growth <3.5%?Yes 48% 5 shares
- Will Michelle Pfeiffer – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series?Yes 3% 5 shares