No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $16K
- Potential payout
- $17.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Polymarket Trader
hughjonesd
0xe14583a0349e68db53f519e0f86047d6e434519a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $29.46K
- Realized PnL
- $16.2K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $8.24K
- Potential payout
- $8.77K
- Potential profit
- $526.2
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $503.86
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $5.22K
- Potential payout
- $5.77K
- Potential profit
- $547.81
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $317.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24K
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7K
Yes position
Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6K
No position
Starmer out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29K
Yes position
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
No position
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $737.24
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $737.14
No position
Starmer out before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $568.99
No position
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $510.5
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $455.65
Yes position
Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $435.44
No position
U.S. forces in Gaza before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $402.18
No position
Will Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Sunday?
Ends Mar 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $366.78
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242.15
No position
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.4
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $226.64
Yes position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.76
No position
Trump out as President in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.35
No position
DeepSeek banned in US before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.08
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.66
Yes position
Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 97.6% 8,165.32 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 96.8% 100 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 82% 8,265.33 shares
- Trump out as President by March 31?No 99.5% 6,764.72 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 85% 5,766.42 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 14?No 43.6% 10 shares
- Trump out as President by March 31?No 97.8% 5,000 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 14?No 76.8% 28.18 shares
- Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?No 88.3% 8,770.07 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?No 88% 42.04 shares
- Maduro out by January 31, 2026?No 86% 3,432.88 shares
- Starmer out in 2025?No 99.2% 2,977.45 shares